Game outcome model
NFL SPREAD & TOTALS
Predicts each upcoming NFL game's margin and total points against the real captured sportsbook lines. Play/No Play flags spread picks that clear our real, backtested confidence bar - not every game is a play.
Upcoming games
13
Qualifying plays
0
With spread line
13
With totals line
13
▼
Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET
Margin (estimate)PIT by 1.4
Market spreadPIT -3 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)46.4
Market total45 (Hard Rock Bet)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylinePIT: -166NO: +140DraftKings
Model leans
PIT 59.8%
Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET
Margin (estimate)CLE by 0.2
Market spreadCLE -2.5 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)41.5
Market total17.5 (FanDuel)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylineCLE: -135TEN: +114DraftKings
Model leans
CLE 56.7%
Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET
Margin (estimate)NYJ by 3.0
Market spreadNYJ -4.5 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)42.7
Market total39.5 (Hard Rock Bet)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylineMIA: +185NYJ: -225DraftKings
Model leans
NYJ 50.9%
Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET
Margin (estimate)MIN by 4.3
Market spreadMIN -6.5 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)42.9
Market total41.5 (DraftKings)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylineIND: +235MIN: -290DraftKings
Model leans
MIN 58.5%
Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET
Margin (estimate)SF by 1.0
Market spreadSF -2.5 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)47.4
Market total49.5 (DraftKings)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylineSF: -148ATL: +124DraftKings
Model leans
SF 60.9%
Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET
Margin (estimate)CIN by 1.3
Market spreadCIN -1.5 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)47.5
Market total48.5 (DraftKings)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylineCIN: -112BAL: -108DraftKings
Model leans
CIN 64.4%
Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET
Margin (estimate)CAR by 3.3
Market spreadCAR -3 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)46.4
Market total44.5 (Hard Rock Bet)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylineTB: +130CAR: -155DraftKings
Model leans
CAR 55.8%
Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET
Margin (estimate)HOU by 7.6
Market spreadHOU -10.5 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)45.0
Market total42.5 (DraftKings)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylineNYG: +390HOU: -520DraftKings
Model leans
HOU 74.3%
Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET
Margin (estimate)DEN by 4.3
Market spreadDEN -4.5 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)44.6
Market total43.5 (DraftKings)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylineDEN: -238ARI: +195DraftKings
Model leans
DEN 72.4%
Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET
Margin (estimate)DET by 4.2
Market spreadDET -3 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)54.5
Market total53.5 (Hard Rock Bet)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylineGB: +145DET: -175DraftKings
Model leans
DET 53.1%
Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET
Margin (estimate)LA by 3.3
Market spreadLA -3 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)48.9
Market total48.5 (DraftKings)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylineLA: -175LV: +145DraftKings
Model leans
LA 67.4%
Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET
Margin (estimate)SEA by 2.6
Market spreadSEA -2.5 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)46.2
Market total42.5 (DraftKings)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylineKC: +124SEA: -148DraftKings
Model leans
KC 50.1%
Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET
Margin (estimate)DAL by 5.6
Market spreadDAL -4.5 (DraftKings)
Total points (estimate)45.7
Market total44.5 (DraftKings)
No spread playNo total play
MoneylineDAL: -218PHI: +180DraftKings
Model leans
DAL 70.0%